This is the second of the three-part series where I predict the outcome of the 2011 general elections. I will cover ten constituencies today, four remaining SMCs and five GRCs.
Radin Mas
Sam Tan (PAP) vs Yip Yew Weng (NSP)
A newly carved-out ward at this year's elections. At one time, this SMC looked as though it was going to have a messy five-cornered fight. It is easy to comprehend why so many parties want to contest here.
Sam Tan is a one-term MP with no experience in campaigning. Moreover, the residents there have not cast a vote for a long time so there is no reason why there won't be a backlash against the PAP.
Yip Yew Weng looks like the ideal guy here. He is well-educated, is a political veteran and speaks a variety of dialects. The people there are mostly the elderly hence, Mr Yip should be able to click with them easily.
However, don't forget that since they are the elderly, they would still stability by voting PAP. PAP can win this one if they make the effort to brainwash enough neutral voters from the older generation.
Final score: PAP 57%-43% NSP
Sengkang West
Lam Pin Min (PAP) vs Koh Choong Yong (WP)
This seat is definitely not one of WP's priorities. You rarely hear news about opposition in this area. PAP to win this one comfortably.
Koh Choong Yong claims that he has lived in this ward for a decade. That does not necessarily mean that those ten years are of public service.
Higher frequency of public transport arrivals is one important issue here. Both candidates will, no doubt, address it if elected. Therefore, PAP can win this one without much complication.
Final score: PAP 60%-40% WP
Whampoa
Heng Chee How (PAP) vs Ken Sun (NSP)
Again, PAP have the upper hand in this ward because they have been the representative here. Heng Chee How has done a fairly decent job as an MP, something commendable since he is from PAP.
Ken Sun and his party gives people the impression that they are there just for the sake of joining in the election fun. He looks more like somebody whom will find fault with the government instead of taking care of his residents or proposing new ideas.
PAP licks this one up without moving its head.
Final score: PAP 69%-31% NSP
Yuhua
Grace Fu (PAP) vs Teo Soh Lung (SDP)
At one of SDP's rallies, Teo Soh Lung said "My PAP opponent is the senior minister of state for education. What has she done for Singapore?"
I tried my best to come up with an answer but sorry I will have to use Tin Pei Ling's infamous trademark. I don't know what to say.
Miss Teo was only introduced as the candidate for this SMC rather late. It was widely expected that her party colleague, Jaslyn Go, was the woman who will challenge Grace Fu. It doesn't really matter which woman was chosen because both carry the party's flag.
Grace Fu has been rather disgraceful as a senior minister of state. She is not cut out to be an office-holder. Neither is she capable of serving her people effectively. SDP must make full use of the remaining campaigning period since Miss Teo might still appear "new" to voters.
Final score: PAP 45%-55% SDP
And now, on to the GRCs. I don't see a need to introduce all of the candidates in the team since only a couple of people in a side are the main players.
Aljunied
PAP vs WP
According to the mainstream media, this is labelled as the biggest battle in this election. Accordingly to me, this is the Singapore political version of the El Clasico. WP's Barcelona squad taking on the Real Madrid team of PAP (all-white).
This WP team includes Low Thia Khaing, a counsellor, a postgraduate law student, a corporate lawyer and a law lecturer.
There are fears that George Yeo of PAP might lose his post as minister if the opposition were to win. I believe that Aljunied voters understand that losing a minister is not the end of the world for Singapore.
Even Low Thia Khiang has decided to venture out of his comfort zone in a bid to gun down a GRC. How can people not give him face and vote for change?
Final score: PAP 46%-54% WP
Ang Mo Kio
PAP vs RP
Finally, I get to mention RP but there won't be much to talk about about them. This RP team at AMK GRC is basically a suicide squad although they claim they aren't. PM Lee should win at least 65% of the votes to consider it as a real victory.
I think he won't since PAP has allowed so many foreigners into the country for the past five years.
Final score: PAP 63%-36% RP
Bishan-Toa Payoh
This is another interesting battle to watch since it features opposition veteran, Chiam See Tong. Mr Chiam's decision to move out of Potong Pasir appears to be a big gamble as SPP still looks a little shaky at the moment.
If the entire nation were to vote, I believe PAP will lose since there is Wong Kan Seng aka the man responsible for Mas Selamat's escape. Mr Wong still has a strong support base in this area because of his long track record.
I hate Josephine Teo from the PAP team. She is one who talks without thinking but sadly she will still continue to be an MP after this election.
Final score: PAP 55%-45% SPP
Chua Chu Kang
PAP vs NSP
The CCK team of NSP consists of scholarship couple, Tony Tan and Hazel Poa. It also has NSP's chairman, Sebastian Teo, but he looks more like a supporting role in the team.
PAP is led by Minister of Manpower, Gan Kim Yong. Not a very strong team in my opinion, none of the other four PAP candidates ring a bell in me. PAP needs to depend heavily on brainwashing to win votes.
NSP, with the help of Tony Tan, should be able to pull off a remarkable victory by winning this GRC. A close fight looks highly possible.
Final score: PAP 47%-53% NSP
East Coast
PAP vs WP
PAP are favourites to to win this one. They have a strong team which consists of Raymond Lim and Lim Swee Say. Not to mention Lee Yi Shyan and Maliki Osman.
On the other hand, WP only has Eric Tan while Gerald Giam is a potential star in the making. The rest are just there to make up the numbers. That is why GRCs were implemented, to help PAP win.
Not much of a chance for the opposition here, PAP deserves to beat them fair and square.
Final score: PAP 60%-40% WP
Radin Mas
Sam Tan (PAP) vs Yip Yew Weng (NSP)
A newly carved-out ward at this year's elections. At one time, this SMC looked as though it was going to have a messy five-cornered fight. It is easy to comprehend why so many parties want to contest here.
Sam Tan is a one-term MP with no experience in campaigning. Moreover, the residents there have not cast a vote for a long time so there is no reason why there won't be a backlash against the PAP.
Yip Yew Weng looks like the ideal guy here. He is well-educated, is a political veteran and speaks a variety of dialects. The people there are mostly the elderly hence, Mr Yip should be able to click with them easily.
However, don't forget that since they are the elderly, they would still stability by voting PAP. PAP can win this one if they make the effort to brainwash enough neutral voters from the older generation.
Final score: PAP 57%-43% NSP
Sengkang West
Lam Pin Min (PAP) vs Koh Choong Yong (WP)
This seat is definitely not one of WP's priorities. You rarely hear news about opposition in this area. PAP to win this one comfortably.
Koh Choong Yong claims that he has lived in this ward for a decade. That does not necessarily mean that those ten years are of public service.
Higher frequency of public transport arrivals is one important issue here. Both candidates will, no doubt, address it if elected. Therefore, PAP can win this one without much complication.
Final score: PAP 60%-40% WP
Whampoa
Heng Chee How (PAP) vs Ken Sun (NSP)
Again, PAP have the upper hand in this ward because they have been the representative here. Heng Chee How has done a fairly decent job as an MP, something commendable since he is from PAP.
Ken Sun and his party gives people the impression that they are there just for the sake of joining in the election fun. He looks more like somebody whom will find fault with the government instead of taking care of his residents or proposing new ideas.
PAP licks this one up without moving its head.
Final score: PAP 69%-31% NSP
Yuhua
Grace Fu (PAP) vs Teo Soh Lung (SDP)
At one of SDP's rallies, Teo Soh Lung said "My PAP opponent is the senior minister of state for education. What has she done for Singapore?"
I tried my best to come up with an answer but sorry I will have to use Tin Pei Ling's infamous trademark. I don't know what to say.
Miss Teo was only introduced as the candidate for this SMC rather late. It was widely expected that her party colleague, Jaslyn Go, was the woman who will challenge Grace Fu. It doesn't really matter which woman was chosen because both carry the party's flag.
Grace Fu has been rather disgraceful as a senior minister of state. She is not cut out to be an office-holder. Neither is she capable of serving her people effectively. SDP must make full use of the remaining campaigning period since Miss Teo might still appear "new" to voters.
Final score: PAP 45%-55% SDP
And now, on to the GRCs. I don't see a need to introduce all of the candidates in the team since only a couple of people in a side are the main players.
Aljunied
PAP vs WP
According to the mainstream media, this is labelled as the biggest battle in this election. Accordingly to me, this is the Singapore political version of the El Clasico. WP's Barcelona squad taking on the Real Madrid team of PAP (all-white).
This WP team includes Low Thia Khaing, a counsellor, a postgraduate law student, a corporate lawyer and a law lecturer.
There are fears that George Yeo of PAP might lose his post as minister if the opposition were to win. I believe that Aljunied voters understand that losing a minister is not the end of the world for Singapore.
Even Low Thia Khiang has decided to venture out of his comfort zone in a bid to gun down a GRC. How can people not give him face and vote for change?
Final score: PAP 46%-54% WP
Ang Mo Kio
PAP vs RP
Finally, I get to mention RP but there won't be much to talk about about them. This RP team at AMK GRC is basically a suicide squad although they claim they aren't. PM Lee should win at least 65% of the votes to consider it as a real victory.
I think he won't since PAP has allowed so many foreigners into the country for the past five years.
Final score: PAP 63%-36% RP
Bishan-Toa Payoh
This is another interesting battle to watch since it features opposition veteran, Chiam See Tong. Mr Chiam's decision to move out of Potong Pasir appears to be a big gamble as SPP still looks a little shaky at the moment.
If the entire nation were to vote, I believe PAP will lose since there is Wong Kan Seng aka the man responsible for Mas Selamat's escape. Mr Wong still has a strong support base in this area because of his long track record.
I hate Josephine Teo from the PAP team. She is one who talks without thinking but sadly she will still continue to be an MP after this election.
Final score: PAP 55%-45% SPP
Chua Chu Kang
PAP vs NSP
The CCK team of NSP consists of scholarship couple, Tony Tan and Hazel Poa. It also has NSP's chairman, Sebastian Teo, but he looks more like a supporting role in the team.
PAP is led by Minister of Manpower, Gan Kim Yong. Not a very strong team in my opinion, none of the other four PAP candidates ring a bell in me. PAP needs to depend heavily on brainwashing to win votes.
NSP, with the help of Tony Tan, should be able to pull off a remarkable victory by winning this GRC. A close fight looks highly possible.
Final score: PAP 47%-53% NSP
East Coast
PAP vs WP
PAP are favourites to to win this one. They have a strong team which consists of Raymond Lim and Lim Swee Say. Not to mention Lee Yi Shyan and Maliki Osman.
On the other hand, WP only has Eric Tan while Gerald Giam is a potential star in the making. The rest are just there to make up the numbers. That is why GRCs were implemented, to help PAP win.
Not much of a chance for the opposition here, PAP deserves to beat them fair and square.
Final score: PAP 60%-40% WP
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